Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brighton & Hove Albion		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	3	3.6	2.2
	3.05	3.7	2.25
	3.19	3.72	2.26
	3.23	3.81	2.18	Watch
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.22	3.8	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	3.68 ↓ (3.86)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
30.8%

Draw
26%

Liverpool
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

24.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

24.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.3%	19.2%	63.5%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 9 - 18%). Liverpool will win (votes: 33 - 66%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 52.9% – 79.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 20. Milner J. 30. Gross P. 25. Gomez D. 13. Hinshelwood J. 11. Minteh Y. 18. Welbeck D.	25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 8. Szoboszlai D. 7. Wirtz F. 10. Mac Allister A. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.
Substitutes
26. Ayari Y. 17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 29. De Cuyper M. 19. Kostoulas C. 22. Mitoma K. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.	14. Chiesa F. 2. Gomez J. 17. Jones C. 68. Morrison K. 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 26. Robertson A. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Ekitike H. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Welbeck D. ⚽, Gomez D. (A),
25', Minteh Y. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Kerkez M. ⚽,
45', Konate I. 🟨,
45+5', Gomez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Welbeck D. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Welbeck D. ⚽, Hinshelwood J. (A),
61', Frimpong J. 🟨,
63', Frimpong J. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
68', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
68', Hurzeler F. 🟨,
76', Minteh Y. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
76', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
76', Kerkez M. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
77', Konate I. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
79', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
83', Welbeck D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
83', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
85', Dunk L. 🟨,
90', Chiesa F. 🟨,
90+1', Gomez D. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
90+4', Wieffer M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liverpool will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Endo W. (Foot Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Gomez J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16:5	11	10
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
14.03.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWL
- Liverpool FC
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Liverpool - Galatasaray	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.03.26	Galatasaray - Liverpool	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
English Premier League
03.03.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0
English Premier League
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0
19.05.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	3:2
02.11.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
English League Cup
30.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:3
English Premier League
31.03.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
08.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:2

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