Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Albania	15:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	23:00	Optus Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	15:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	10:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Nova Sport
Cambodia	20:00	CTN
Canada	09:00	fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
Chile	09:00	Disney+
China	21:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay
France	15:00	Canal+ Live 3
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	13:00	Siminn Sport 3
India	18:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 3
Italy	15:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	22:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	SuperSport 4
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	07:00	Tubi TV
Mongolia	21:00	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:00	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Viaplay
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	16:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4
Singapore	21:00	Hub Premier 4
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Action, SuperSport PSL
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Thailand	20:00	True Premier Football 4
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
United Kingdom	14:00	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	13:00	Disney+


	Tottenham Hotspur		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.38	5.25	7.25
	1.36	5.7	8.4	Watch
	1.38	5.52	7.66	Watch
	1.4	5	7
	1.39	5.64	7.48	Watch
	1.37	5.6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	5.46 ↑ (5.29)	7.57 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
69.7%

Draw
17.6%

Southampton
12.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18.2%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

16%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tottenham Hotspur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	3.9%	11.8%

Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Tottenham (2.02) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Tottenham (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (43 of 51 users predict this - 84.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.33% – 94.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 12 - 75%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. 33. Davies B. 24. Spence D. 15. Bergvall L. 30. Bentancur R. 10. Maddison J. 22. Johnson B. 19. Solanke D. 7. Son Heung-Min (C)	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. (C) 3. Manning R. 26. Ugochukwu L. 7. Aribo J. 33. Dibling T. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Sulemana K. 19. Archer C.
Substitutes
8. Bissouma Y. 14. Gray A. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Odobert W. 9. Richarlison 29. Sarr P. M. 11. Tel M. 13. Udogie D. 37. van de Ven M.	37. Bella-Kotchap A. 14. Bree J. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 8. Smallbone W. 5. Stephens J. 11. Stewart R. 16. Sugawara Y. 34. Welington
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Johnson B. ⚽, Spence D. (A),
26', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Johnson B. ⚽, Maddison J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Son Heung-Min ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
57', Bentancur R. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
60', Porro P. 🟨,
64', Aribo J. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
64', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
73', Dibling T. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
73', Archer C. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
80', Bergvall L. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
80', Maddison J. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
87', Solanke D. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Fernandes M. ⚽, Sulemana K. (A),
90+5', 3 - 1, Tel M. (Pen),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 2.

Tottenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tottenham is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Tottenham: Danso K. (Thigh Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Downes F. (Yellow Cards) Fraser R. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Richarlison (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Larios J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onuachu P. (Injury) Smallbone W. (Groin Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 49:28 (average 2.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Tottenham won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:14 (average 2.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
03.04.25	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
09.03.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
02.04.25	Southampton - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1 ✺
25.02.25	Chelsea - Southampton	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.12.24	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:5
18.03.23	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	3:3
06.08.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	4:1
09.02.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	2:3
28.12.21	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
21.04.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	2:1
20.09.20	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	2:5

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