Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
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Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
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World	Disney+


	Tottenham Hotspur		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.38	5.25	7.25
	1.36	5.7	8.4	Watch
	1.38	5.52	7.66	Watch
	1.4	5	7
	1.39	5.64	7.48	Watch
	1.37	5.6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	5.46 ↑ (5.29)	7.57 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
69.7%

Draw
17.6%

Southampton
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18.2%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

16%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tottenham Hotspur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	3.9%	11.8%

Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Tottenham (2.02) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Tottenham (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (43 of 51 users predict this - 84.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.33% – 94.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 12 - 75%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. 33. Davies B. 24. Spence D. 15. Bergvall L. 30. Bentancur R. 10. Maddison J. 22. Johnson B. 19. Solanke D. 7. Son Heung-Min (C)	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. (C) 3. Manning R. 26. Ugochukwu L. 7. Aribo J. 33. Dibling T. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Sulemana K. 19. Archer C.
Substitutes
8. Bissouma Y. 14. Gray A. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Odobert W. 9. Richarlison 29. Sarr P. M. 11. Tel M. 13. Udogie D. 37. van de Ven M.	37. Bella-Kotchap A. 14. Bree J. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 8. Smallbone W. 5. Stephens J. 11. Stewart R. 16. Sugawara Y. 34. Welington
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Johnson B. ⚽, Spence D. (A),
26', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Johnson B. ⚽, Maddison J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Son Heung-Min ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
57', Bentancur R. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
60', Porro P. 🟨,
64', Aribo J. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
64', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
73', Dibling T. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
73', Archer C. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
80', Bergvall L. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
80', Maddison J. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
87', Solanke D. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Fernandes M. ⚽, Sulemana K. (A),
90+5', 3 - 1, Tel M. (Pen),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 2.

Tottenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tottenham is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Tottenham: Danso K. (Thigh Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Downes F. (Yellow Cards) Fraser R. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Richarlison (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Larios J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onuachu P. (Injury) Smallbone W. (Groin Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tottenham won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 49:28 (average 2.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Tottenham won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:14 (average 2.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
03.04.25	Chelsea - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
09.03.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.03.25	AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
02.04.25	Southampton - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1 ✺
25.02.25	Chelsea - Southampton	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.12.24	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:5
18.03.23	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	3:3
06.08.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	4:1
09.02.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	2:3
28.12.21	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
21.04.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	2:1
20.09.20	Southampton - Tottenham Hotspur	2:5

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