Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 34

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Alcione		Pro Vercelli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.68	Watch
	2.62	3	2.76
	2.6	3.01	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.63
	2.56	2.89	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.4)	2.93 ↓ (3.26)	2.69 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
35.2%

Draw
31%

Pro Vercelli
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.8%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Pro Vercelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Alcione - Pro Vercelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 25. Pirola F. 5. Miculi A. 65. Giorgeschi S. 73. Scuderi G. 8. Muroni M. 16. Lanzi J. 70. Bright K. 33. Invernizzi A. 9. Plescia V. 10. Pitou J.	97. Livieri A. (G) 18. Piran L. 5. Marchetti S. 3. Coccolo L. 28. Carosso A. 14. Iotti I. 4. El Bouchataoui A. 30. Huiberts D. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 26. Comi G. (C) 11. Sow A.
Substitutes
23. Galli G. 27. Lione M. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 11. Morselli F. 21. Olivieri D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G. 32. Tordini M. 30. Zamparo L.	41. Boufandar A. 8. Burruano A. 44. Clemente G. 77. Del Favero M. (G) 7. Mallahi M. 23. Perotti C. 29. Pino E. 91. Regonesi I. 16. Ronchi N. 33. Rosin D. (G) 10. Rutigliano M. 45. Satriano A. 21. Sow O. 32. Zacchera G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Plescia V. (Penalty Awarded),
42', El Bouchataoui A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Sow A. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
62', Invernizzi A. 🟨,
69', Invernizzi A. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
69', Bright K. ↓, Lopes E. ↑,
79', Piran L. ↓, Clemente G. ↑,
79', Huiberts D. ↓, Satriano A. ↑,
87', El Bouchataoui A. ↓, Pino E. ↑,
87', Coccolo L. ↓, Burruano A. ↑,
90', Muroni M. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
90', Plescia V. ↓, Marconi M. ↑,
90+5', Scuderi G. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Comi G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

Alcione has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pro Vercelli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alcione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
14	Pro Vercelli	9	2	3	4	8:13	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Pro Vercelli - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
22.03.26	Novara - Alcione	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Pro Patria - Alcione	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Alcione - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Inter U23 - Alcione	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTTT
- Pro Vercelli
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.26	Pro Vercelli - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Pro Vercelli - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	1:0
22.03.25	Alcione - Pro Vercelli	1:2
08.11.24	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	1:0

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