Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)

Referee: Melero M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Denmark	Sport Live
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	L'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Israel	Sport 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV7
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Copa Del Rey, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	UD Logroñés		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	12	5	1.3	Watch
	12	5.25	1.29
	12	5.5	1.3	Watch
	10.96	5.1	1.29	Watch
	10	4.8	1.3	Watch
	11.5	5.35	1.29	Watch
	12	5.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.49 ↑ (8.2)	5.21 ↑ (4.69)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
8.3%

Draw
18.3%

Athletic Bilbao
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

20%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

19.4%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

UD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Royo K. (C) 17. Almandoz B. 4. Monreal J. 12. Moreno E. 28. Arnau P. 20. Bonilla Martinez F. C. 30. Garrido I. 8. Lopez P. 19. Riki 7. Najera M. 24. Facchin E.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 18. de Marcos O. 14. Nunez U. 4. Paredes A. 32. Boiro A. 21. Herrera A. 6. Vesga M. 22. Serrano N. 7. Berenguer A. 11. Djalo A. 12. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
21. Aguero J. 10. Barrero A. O. 18. Caballero A. 13. Daza A. (G) 29. Estrecha I. 34. Fernandez M. 14. Gualda A. 2. Iribarren Y. 11. Madrazo J. 3. Mateo A. 5. Sarriegi I.	17. Berchiche Y. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 23. Jauregizar M. 19. Javier Marton 15. Lekue I. 24. Prados Diaz B. 1. Simon U. (G) 3. Vivian D. 9. Williams I. 10. Williams N.
Coaches
Rodriguez S.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Nunez U. 🟨,
39', Bonilla Martinez F. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Herrera A. 🟨,
60', Serrano N. ↓, Williams I. ↑,
60', Herrera A. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
60', Djalo A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
61', Facchin E. ↓, Madrazo J. ↑,
61', Riki ↓, Aguero J. ↑,
69', Nunez U. ↓, Vivian D. ↑,
74', Lopez P. ↓, Gualda A. ↑,
75', Bonilla Martinez F. C. ↓, Sarriegi I. ↑,
80', Vesga M. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
87', Najera M. ↓, Estrecha I. ↑,
89', Boiro A. 🟨,
90', Aguero J. 🟨,
90+5', Williams I. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Boiro A. ↓, Berchiche Y. ↑,
102', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
106', Almandoz B. ↓, Mateo A. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Monreal J. (Pen),
1, Vivian D. (Pen),
2, Gualda A. (Pen),
2, Berchiche Y. (Pen),
3, Sarriegi I. (Pen),
3, Williams N. (Pen),
4, Aguero J. (Pen),
4, Berenguer A. (Pen),
5, Moreno E. (Pen),
5, Gomez U. (Pen),

Preview

Logroñés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Athletic is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Including matches at home between the teams Logroñés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.12.24	Alfaro - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	UD Logroñés - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
07.12.24	Subiza - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	UD Logroñés - Girona	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.11.24	UD Logroñés - Barbastro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWTWW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.24	Fenerbahçe - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.24	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.08.20	UD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao	3:1

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