The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Logroñés 40.4%
Draw 34%
Lugo 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.5%
33.9%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
23%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UD Logroñés - Lugo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
Logroñés has a chance of relegated (35%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lugo has a chance of relegated (22%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Watch
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