Match Info

Date: 30 May 2021, Sunday


	UD Logroñés		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	6	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5.75
	1.48	4.25	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.52	4.34	6.5
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)	4.2 ↓ (4.45)	6.17 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
62.6%

Draw
22.3%

Las Palmas
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

11.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.4%	1.6%	11%

UD Logroñés - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: UD Logroñés will win (159 of 182 users predict this - 87.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.53% – 92.19%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Logroñés has the most likely position - 18 (27.52%), has project points - 46, has currently - 44, has a chance of relegated (50%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 10 (61.14%), has project points - 54, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Logroñés is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Las Palmas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Logroñés is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Almería - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
19.05.21	UD Logroñés - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
16.05.21	Leganés - UD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
09.05.21	UD Logroñés - Girona	1:4 ✺
02.05.21	Castellón - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	3:2 ✺
20.05.21	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
15.05.21	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	0:2 ✺
08.05.21	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
02.05.21	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.20	Las Palmas - UD Logroñés	2:1

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