Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 14

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.53	3.25	2.67
	2.57	3.18	2.73	Watch
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.43	3.08	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.6)	3.12 ↓ (3.26)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
36.7%

Draw
29.2%

Varzim
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

União de Santarém - Varzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hidalgo N. (G) 17. Aguas G. 84. Ayiah E. 11. Goncalves E. F. 16. Grilo M. (C) 3. Joao Ricardo 4. Pereira P. 14. Simoes J. 7. Teixeira G. 29. Teixeira R. 20. Ventura B.	49. Costa P. (G) 20. Derick 71. Filipe L. 10. Joaozinho 16. Neumann T. 8. Oliveira R. 99. Pedro Clemente 2. Pimenta G. (C) 17. Sequeira D. 18. Stitch 44. Vila Cova M.
Substitutes
13. Bura 90. Koume S. 10. Madeira T. 79. Marcante E. 24. Medalli N. 58. Monteiro D. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 5. Rodeia M. 33. Rodrigues M.	27. Boloto 19. Chamito 75. Costa T. 22. Cruz T. 7. Gomes A. 14. Graca H. 35. Gunjo J. 45. Rebelo M. 31. Talocha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Derick ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Stitch ⚽,
40', 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Teixeira R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
10.05.26	Amarante - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	União de Santarém - Trofense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTTTL
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
10.05.26	Varzim - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Académica Coimbra - Varzim	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Varzim - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
21.03.26	Varzim - União de Santarém	1:0

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