Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 1
Angola	19:30	Z Sports 1
Argentina	15:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	05:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Brazil	15:30	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	14:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	15:30	Disney+
China	02:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	13:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Germany	20:30	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
India	00:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	01:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	03:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:30	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	23:30	Medianet
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	12:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	02:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	23:30	Tapmad
Peru	13:30	Disney+
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	21:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	21:30	Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	03:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:30	SCCN
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	21:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+
Vietnam	01:30	TV 360
International	18:30	Onefootball


	Union Berlin		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.45	3.2
	2.36	3.31	3.33
	1.45	4.22	7.36	Watch
	2.31	3.57	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)	3.59 ↑ (3.48)	4.06 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
47.4%

Draw
27.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.1%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Mönchengladbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Mönchengladbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.2%	22.2%	35.6%

Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Borussia M will win (votes: 16 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 25.7% – 55.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Borussia M (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Union Berlin (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Union Berlin (1.37) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Borussia M (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Borussia M (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 8. Khedira R. 6. Kemlein A. 39. Kohn D. 21. Skarke T. 10. Ansah I. 23. Ilic A.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 29. Scally J. 5. Friedrich M. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 27. Reitz R. (C) 16. Sander P. 6. Engelhardt Y. 17. Castrop J. 15. Tabakovic H. 10. Neuhaus F.
Substitutes
30. Bogdanov D. 7. Burke O. 19. Haberer J. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 33. Kral A. 27. Ljubicic M. 34. Nsoki S. 31. Raab M. (G) 15. Rothe T.	22. Fraulo O. 9. Honorat F. 36. Mohya W. 20. Netz L. 1. Omlin J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L. 40. Urbich J.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Doekhi D. ⚽, Trimmel C. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Doekhi D. ⚽, Ansah I. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Engelhardt Y. (A),
36', Castrop J. 🟨,
37', Trimmel C. 🟨,
39', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Kohn D. 🟨,
60', Diks K. ↓, Ullrich L. ↑,
60', Engelhardt Y. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
60', Neuhaus F. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
60', Castrop J. ↓, Honorat F. ↑,
62', Reitz R. 🟨,
69', Skarke T. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
69', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
75', Khedira R. 🟨,
76', Ansah I. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
80', Sander P. ↓, Urbich J. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Khedira R. ⚽,
89', Querfeld L. 🟨,
89', Haberer J. 🟨,
90+4', Reyna G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 2.

Recent form of Union Berlin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Borussia M has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Borussia M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Borussia M has had a series of home games.

Union Berlin could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Groin Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Union Berlin - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWLL
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
Club Friendly
10.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:6 ✺
21.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2
28.09.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0
28.04.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	0:0
09.12.23	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
23.04.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	0:1
30.10.22	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
22.01.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:2

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