Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	17:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect
Austria	17:30	DAZN
Belgium	17:30	Play Sports 1
Brazil	13:30	Canal GOAT, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	18:30	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Croatia	17:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	18:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	17:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	17:30	Arena 4
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
India	22:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	23:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	18:30	Sport 3
Italy	17:30	Sky Sport 255
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	17:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	10:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	00:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	17:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	21:30	Tapmad
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	17:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	16:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	18:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	19:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	19:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	17:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	17:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	17:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	19:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
United Kingdom	16:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
Vietnam	23:30	TV 360
International	16:30	Onefootball


	Union Berlin		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.1
	2.42	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.47	3.25	3.25
	2.38	3.22	3.15	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.45	3.32	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.11)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	3.13 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
40.1%

Draw
29.5%

Werder Bremen
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	37%	18.5%

Union Berlin - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Werder will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 27% – 65.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Union Berlin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Werder (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Union Berlin will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Werder (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 34. Nsoki S. 19. Haberer J. 8. Khedira R. (C) 6. Kemlein A. 13. Schafer A. 39. Kohn D. 23. Ilic A. 10. Ansah I.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. (C) 2. Deman O. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 18. Puertas C. 17. Grull M. 9. Topp K. 20. Schmid R.
Substitutes
9. Burcu L. 7. Burke O. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 18. Juranovic J. 33. Kral A. 17. Preu D. 31. Raab M. (G) 21. Skarke T. 28. Trimmel C.	10. Bittencourt L. 24. Covic P. 13. Hein K. (G) 46. Heitmann M. 22. Malatini J. 29. Musah S. 11. Njinmah J. 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Schmidt I.
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', Stark N. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Kohn D. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Schafer A. 🟥,
31', 1 - 1, Deman O. ⚽, Stage J. (A),
36', 1 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Puertas C. (A),
36', Topp K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Topp K. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
46', Stark N. ↓, Malatini J. ↑,
63', Kemlein A. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Grull M. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
70', Querfeld L. 🟨,
71', Ansah I. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
79', Malatini J. 🟨,
82', Nsoki S. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
83', Haberer J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
83', Grull M. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
90+2', Schmid R. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
90+3', Sugawara Y. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 4, Covic P. ⚽, Bittencourt L. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Union Berlin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Leite D. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Agu F. (Muscle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly K. (Thigh Injury) Mbangula S. (Hamstring Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Milosevic J. (Back Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15:14	1	12
17	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	6:18	-12	6

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.45% Union Berlin: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
28.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hamburger SV - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
06.02.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
24.10.25	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	1:0
03.05.25	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	2:2
21.12.24	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	4:1
16.03.24	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	2:1
28.10.23	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	2:0
27.05.23	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	1:0
25.01.23	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	1:2

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