Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
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Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Universidad Católica del Ecuador		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.39	4.5	8
	1.45	4.2	7
	1.46	4.08	8.36	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8	Watch
	1.42	4.37	8.58	Watch
	1.45	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	4.27 ↓ (4.34)	7.92 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
66.1%

Draw
22%

Cerro Largo
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

21.7%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

20.8%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Uni Católica (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lara J. (G) 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 37. Medina C. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 5. Cacciabue J. 15. Moreno L. 29. Anangono G. 28. Diaz M. 11. Diaz I. (C) 9. Londono A.	24. Santilli G. (G) 17. Garcia A. 8. Mir M. 13. Peraza F. 6. Bonifazi F. 14. Correa L. 15. Assis S. (C) 5. Di Pippa A. 25. Perez A. 32. Gianoli M. 7. Contrera J.
Substitutes
8. Clavijo E. 30. Maciel M. 3. Mosquera I. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 14. Sanchez I. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 1. Valencia E. (G)	29. Affonso M. 11. Anasco M. 19. Brasil M. 4. Ferrares B. 18. Gonzalez C. 27. Medina F. 10. Otormin L. 2. Parada F. 1. Pintado F. (G) 9. Rossi F.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Nunez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Cacciabue J. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Londono A. ⚽, Anangono G. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Diaz I. ⚽, Romero Padilla D. A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Garcia A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
46', Jhon Chancellor ↓, Mosquera I. ↑,
46', Di Pippa A. ↓, Ferrares B. ↑,
51', Gianoli M. 🟨,
55', Mir M. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
56', Ferrares B. 🟨,
56', Diaz I. 🟨,
62', Correa L. 🟨,
69', Perez A. ↓, Brasil M. ↑,
69', Peraza F. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Ferrares B. ⚽, Contrera J. (A),
79', Londono A. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
79', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+3', Palacios B. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Diaz I. ⚽,
90+6', Moreno L. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
90+6', Diaz I. ↓, Troya R. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cerro Largo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Uni Católica is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Vitória Salvador - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.03.25	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWT
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.04.25	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Cerro Largo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Cerro Largo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 LTWTT

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