The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Magdalena 15.6%
Draw 25.4%
Atlético Nacional 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.7%
26%
57.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
25.5%
58.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mattalia J. (G) 27. Lerma J. 18. Molina F. 6. Ortiz D. 3. Ramos N. 30. Mosquera D. 28. Mercado J. 16. Congo J. 9. Iguaran C. 10. Sarmiento J. 21. Marquez R. (C)
1. Ospina D. (G) 10. Cardona E. 23. Arias J. J. 16. Tesillo W. 13. Candido C. 21. Campuzano J. 6. Roman A. 7. Moreno M. 30. Bauza J. 29. Sarmiento A. 9. Morelos A.
Substitutes
8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 29. Contreras J. 20. Giraldo J. 34. Heredia D. (G) 80. Hinojosa R. 23. Lastre E. 11. Martinez M. 4. Murillo D. 26. Tello J.
11. Arce B. 27. Asprilla D. 19. Batista F. 33. Caicedo R. 15. Castillo H. (G) 38. Rengifo J. 17. Salazar A. 5. Toscano Bassa K. D. 36. Uribe C.
Coaches
Silva C.
Gandolfi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Morelos A. 🟨,
26', Ortiz D. 🟨,
31', Ortiz D. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
32', Marquez R. 🟨,
40', Congo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Cardona E. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Cardona E. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
55', Campuzano J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Marquez R. ⚽, Sarmiento J. (A),
64', Moreno M. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
64', Congo J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
79', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
82', Iguaran C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
82', Sarmiento J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
84', Bauza J. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
86', Rengifo J. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Roman A. ⚽, Rengifo J. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Nacional - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Mattalia J. (G) 
Lerma J. 
Molina F. 
Ramos N. 
Lastre E. 
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