Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.42	4.54
	1.88	3.43	4.6	Watch
	1.86	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.06)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)	4.48 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
50.4%

Draw
28.4%

Independiente Rivadavia
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

31.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

30.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 13. Fascendini V. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 16. Martinez M. 30. Pitton M. (C) 7. Fragapane F. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C.	1. Centurion E. (G) 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 36. Bonifacio E. 26. Fernandez M. 5. Bottari T. 25. Amarfil M. 14. Gomez L. 22. Villa S. (C) 9. Arce A.
Substitutes
4. Alvarez E. 21. Colazo A. 3. Corvalan C. 29. Diaz D. 14. Diaz F. 15. Durso T. (G) 18. Gamba L. 26. Luduena J. 17. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N. 24. Profini R. 23. Solari A.	20. Barbieri J. 8. Bucca L. 21. Cardillo M. 23. Marinelli G. (G) 24. Ortega T. 13. Osella A. 4. Peinipil M. 34. Retamar K. 43. Sartori F. 27. Souto P. 11. Tonetto D. 31. Valenti M.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Pitton M. (Own goal),
42', 1 - 1, Tarragona C. (Pen),
43', Amarfil M. 🟨,
45+5', Arce A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, Villalba I. (Own goal),
59', Studer S. 🟨,
61', Costa L. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
62', Martinez M. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
62', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Arce A. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
67', Retamar K. 🟨,
69', Amarfil M. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
73', Fragapane F. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
80', Fernandez M. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
80', Bonifacio E. ↓, Peinipil M. ↑,
80', Gomez L. ↓, Souto P. ↑,
86', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
90', Pitton M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4.

Unión is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unión is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Rivadavia - the odds 4.13 are the expected chance of winning is 22.72%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Unión Santa Fe	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Racing - Unión Santa Fe	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
28.08.25	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.25	Unión Santa Fe - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWLTW
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.25	Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.09.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0
04.06.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia	4:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.11.14	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	0:1
13.09.14	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0
25.05.14	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1
24.11.13	Independiente Rivadavia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0

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