Match Info

Date: 28 July 2021, Wednesday


	Uruguay Montevideo		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.83
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	4	3.2	1.83
	4.34	3.3	1.85
	4.2	3	1.85
	4.1	3.35	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.22)	3.24 (3.24)	1.84 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
22.5%

Draw
28.1%

Defensor Sporting
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

20.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uruguay Montevideo's form might have worsened.

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensor Sporting's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+33.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uruguay Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-26.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	14.8%	55.6%

Uruguay Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensor Sporting: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Uruguay Montevideo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Defensor Sporting is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Defensor Sporting is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.07.21	Cerro - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
14.07.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Rocha	2:1 ✺
08.07.21	Danubio - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
01.07.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
25.06.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLWT
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.07.21	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
15.07.21	Villa Teresa - Defensor Sporting	0:2 ✺
08.07.21	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	1:4 ✺
01.07.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
25.06.21	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW

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