Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Cordoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Brazil	Xsports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Portugal	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Vélez Sársfield		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.40	3.20	1.73
	4.80	3.40	1.77	Watch
	5.25	3.35	1.82
	4.58	3.38	1.86
	5.20	3.05	1.79
	4.26	3.48	1.83	Watch
	4.50	3.35	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (4.3)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
19.9%

Draw
28.3%

Boca Juniors
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

28.3%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.4%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 32. Silvero T. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 8. Robertone L. 11. Pellegrini M. 22. Lanzini M. 17. Veron A. 77. Martinez R.	1. Montero A. (G) 17. Lozano L. 2. Di Lollo L. 42. Herrera F. 3. Blanco L. 8. Belmonte T. 5. Paredes L. (C) 25. Ascacibar S. 20. Velasco A. 16. Miguel Merentiel 22. Villa S.
Substitutes
36. Aguirre T. 35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 19. Cristaldo L. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 2. Mammana E. 47. Pereyra A. 30. Piola L. 37. Policella J. 23. Sanguinetti F. (G)	15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 12. Brey L. (G) 7. Carlos Palacios 4. Figal J. 19. Flores L. 24. Gorosito D. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Rey Domenech C. 46. Satas M. 13. Valencia E. 21. Zenon K.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Aliendro R. 🟨,
61', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
61', Veron A. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
70', Martinez R. ↓, Escobar S. ↑,
74', Godoy D. 🟨,
75', Villa S. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
82', Robertone L. ↓, Feler L. ↑,
82', Lanzini M. ↓, Policella J. ↑,
85', Herrera F. 🟨,
87', Velasco A. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
87', Paredes L. ↓, Carlos Palacios ↑,
90', Montero A. 🟨,
90+2', Godoy D. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Blanco L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Gomez E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Zenon K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Garcia J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Valencia E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Escobar S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Flores L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Aliendro R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Carlos Palacios (Penalty Awarded),
5, Silvero T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.

Vélez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boca Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).

Outrights of Copa Argentina for now

Boca Juniors: 44.71%

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.29%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	River Plate - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTTTW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.08.26	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Racing - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:1
08.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	2:1
Copa Argentina
27.11.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	3:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.06.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0
25.02.23	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	1:2
02.10.22	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	0:0

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