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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 70.1%
Draw 16.9%
Jong Ajax 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.3%
17.8%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.2%
16.6%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
0%
9.1%
Excelsior - Jong Ajax Predictions
Users Predictions:
Excelsior will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 4. Warmerdam D. 5. Widell C. 12. Zagre A. 15. Naujoks N. 20. Hartjes L. 23. Hatenboer C. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C) 21. Donkor J.
1. Reverson P. (G) 2. Jermoumi D. 3. Verschuren N. 4. Janse D. 5. Jetten L. 8. Verkuijl M. 10. Steur S. 6. Brandes J. 7. Faberski J. 9. Rijkhoff J. 11. Konadu D.
Substitutes
11. Booth Z. 32. de Moes S. 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 40. Holla T. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 14. Rosario R. 28. Seedorf J. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.
16. Alders G. 19. Boerhout Y. 17. Chourak N. 20. Kalokoh D. 12. Setford C. (G) 18. Speksnijder R. 15. Ugwu P.
Coaches
den Uil R.
Peereboom F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Naujoks N. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
15', Jetten L. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
20', Donkor J. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
29', 2 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Hartjes L. (A),
37', Verschuren N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Konadu D. 🟨,
64', Verkuijl M. ↓, Chourak N. ↑,
64', Konadu D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
68', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
68', Faberski J. 🟨,
69', Hatenboer C. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
76', Jermoumi D. ↓, Ugwu P. ↑,
76', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Speksnijder R. ↑,
84', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
85', Steur S. ↓, Boerhout Y. ↑,
88', Naujoks N. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
89', Hartjes L. ↓, Rosario R. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.
Excelsior in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Jong Ajax is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Jong Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Excelsior is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X.
(Injury)
Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
Rijkhoff J.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Knock)
Our prediction for today's Excelsior to win the game is with odds 1.35.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 2.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 3.8:1.8).
Netherlands
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Raatsie C. (G) 
Widell C. 
Zagre A. 
Donkor J. 
Jermoumi D. 
Faberski J. 
Booth Z. 
Fini S. 
Rosario R. 
Setford C. (G) 
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