Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 18

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Emmen		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.6
	2.45	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.49	2.84
	2.45	3.41	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.62
	2.41	3.54	2.68	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.46)	3.46 ↓ (3.53)	2.72 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
38.5%

Draw
27.1%

Excelsior
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Emmen - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Unbehaun L. (G) 4. te Wierik M. (C) 6. Mulder P. 3. Vos D. 21. Nunumete D. 22. Martin M. 26. Wagner F. 10. Hawkins J. 7. Rhein T. 24. Nsona K. 20. Kade J.	1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 23. Hatenboer C. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 15. Naujoks N. 7. Fini S. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C)
Substitutes
8. Bakir A. 18. Evina F. 23. Hammouti F. 1. Hoekstra J. (G) 28. Jalving R. (G) 11. Mpindi Landu C. 12. Quispel F. 9. Rogulj A. 19. Sadiku A. 27. Schouten R. 2. Soares J.	33. Bergraaf J. 11. Booth Z. 32. de Moes S. 24. Eijgenraam J. 40. Holla T. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 14. Rosario R. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.
Coaches
Peter R.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, te Wierik M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Hartjes L. ⚽, Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martin M. 🟨,
47', Hatenboer C. 🟨,
54', Nunumete D. 🟨,
66', Fini S. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
66', Hatenboer C. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
71', Kade J. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
80', Nsona K. ↓, Mpindi Landu C. ↑,
82', Zagre A. 🟨,
83', te Wierik M. 🟨,
86', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 2.

Emmen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Excelsior is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K. (Foot Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Emmen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.11.24	ADO Den Haag - Emmen	2:1 ✺
25.11.24	Emmen - De Graafschap	3:0 ✺
22.11.24	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	0:2 ✺
08.11.24	Emmen - Jong Ajax	4:2 ✺
04.11.24	Jong PSV - Emmen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.11.24	Excelsior - Jong Ajax	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Jong Utrecht - Excelsior	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Den Bosch - Excelsior	0:3 ✺
08.11.24	Excelsior - FC Eindhoven	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Helmond Sport - Excelsior	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
11.03.23	Emmen - Excelsior	2:0
10.09.22	Excelsior - Emmen	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.01.22	Excelsior - Emmen	0:1
09.10.21	Emmen - Excelsior	0:1
Dutch Eredivisie
17.02.19	Excelsior - Emmen	2:1
25.11.18	Emmen - Excelsior	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.13	Excelsior - Emmen	2:2

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