Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	16:15	SuperSport 4
Argentina	11:15	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	18:15	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	00:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	16:15	DAZN
Bangladesh	20:15	Begin
Bolivia	10:15	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	11:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Canada	10:15	TSN+
Chile	10:15	DirecTV Sports
China	22:15	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:15	DSports
Croatia	16:15	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:15	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	09:15	DirecTV Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	17:15	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	16:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Georgia	18:15	Silk Sport 1
Germany	16:15	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:15	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	22:15	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	16:15	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	19:45	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	21:15	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	17:15	ONE Sport
Italy	16:15	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:15	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	17:15	Gotv
Laos	21:15	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	19:15	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	16:15	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	08:15	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	16:15	Ziggo Sport 4
New Zealand	02:15	beIN Connect
Nigeria	15:15	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	16:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:15	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	09:15	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	22:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	16:15	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	15:15	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:15	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	17:15	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	16:15	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	22:15	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	16:15	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	16:15	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	16:15	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	16:15	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	16:15	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	21:15	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	17:15	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	17:15	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	15:15	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	11:15	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	10:15	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:15	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	21:15	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Valencia		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.75
	1.7	3.95	4.7
	1.74	4.06	4.95
	1.81	3.81	4.65
	1.67	3.75	4.8
	1.72	4.11	5.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.11)	3.88 ↑ (3.84)	4.64 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
54.9%

Draw
24.6%

Atlético Madrid
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

23.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	19.4%	16.7%

Valencia - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Atlético will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Renzo Saravia 5. Tarrega C. 18. Pepelu 14. Gaya J. (C) 11. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 2. Rodriguez G. 23. Ugrinic F. 6. Sadiq U. 17. Ramazani L.	1. Musso J. (C) 16. Molina N. 32. Bonar J. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 34. Diaz J. 4. Mendoza R. 47. Morcillo J. 21. Vargas O. 11. Almada T. 29. Belaid R.
Substitutes
10. Almeida A. 24. Comert E. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D. 29. Nunez L. 4. Nunez U. 19. Raba D. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 22. Santamaria B. 21. Vazquez J.	10. Baena A. 5. Cardoso J. 61. Cubo M. 7. Griezmann A. 6. Koke 22. Lookman A. 37. Luque I. 30. Martinez D. 13. Oblak J. (G) 18. Pubill M. 40. Puric A. 3. Ruggeri M.
Coaches
Corberan C.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Almada T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Mendoza R. 🟨,
59', Ugrinic F. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
59', Rioja L. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
61', Vargas O. 🟨,
63', Morcillo J. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
63', Belaid R. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
67', Tarrega C. 🟨,
73', Almada T. ↓, Koke ↑,
73', Mendoza R. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
73', Ramazani L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
73', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Luque I. ⚽, Vargas O. (A),
82', 0 - 2, Cubo M. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
82', Renzo Saravia ↓, Raba D. ↑,
90+7', Bonar J. ↓, Puric A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.

Recent performances by Valencia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético has had a series of home games.

In this match, Valencia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Rendall T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Alvarez J. (Ankle Injury) Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury) Simeone G. (Injury) Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	10	8	1	1	20:8	12	25
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 6.42% Valencia: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Valencia - Girona	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLLW
- Atlético Madrid
UEFA Champions League
29.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Elche - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:3 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:1
22.02.25	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:3
15.09.24	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	3:0
28.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:0
16.09.23	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	3:0
18.03.23	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	3:0
29.08.22	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:1

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