Match Info

LaLiga - Round 34

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
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Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
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Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
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India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
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Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
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Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Valencia		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.75
	1.7	3.95	4.7
	1.74	4.06	4.95
	1.81	3.81	4.65
	1.67	3.75	4.8
	1.72	4.11	5.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.11)	3.88 ↑ (3.84)	4.64 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
54.9%

Draw
24.6%

Atlético Madrid
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

23%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valencia's performance.

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.9%	19.4%	16.7%

Valencia - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Atlético will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 48.2% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Renzo Saravia 5. Tarrega C. 18. Pepelu 14. Gaya J. (C) 11. Rioja L. 8. Guerra J. 2. Rodriguez G. 23. Ugrinic F. 6. Sadiq U. 17. Ramazani L.	1. Musso J. (C) 16. Molina N. 32. Bonar J. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 34. Diaz J. 4. Mendoza R. 47. Morcillo J. 21. Vargas O. 11. Almada T. 29. Belaid R.
Substitutes
10. Almeida A. 24. Comert E. 7. Danjuma A. 9. Duro H. 16. Lopez D. 29. Nunez L. 4. Nunez U. 19. Raba D. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 22. Santamaria B. 21. Vazquez J.	10. Baena A. 5. Cardoso J. 61. Cubo M. 7. Griezmann A. 6. Koke 22. Lookman A. 37. Luque I. 30. Martinez D. 13. Oblak J. (G) 18. Pubill M. 40. Puric A. 3. Ruggeri M.
Coaches
Corberan C.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Almada T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Mendoza R. 🟨,
59', Ugrinic F. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
59', Rioja L. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
61', Vargas O. 🟨,
63', Morcillo J. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
63', Belaid R. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
67', Tarrega C. 🟨,
73', Almada T. ↓, Koke ↑,
73', Mendoza R. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
73', Ramazani L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
73', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Luque I. ⚽, Vargas O. (A),
82', 0 - 2, Cubo M. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
82', Renzo Saravia ↓, Raba D. ↑,
90+7', Bonar J. ↓, Puric A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.

Recent performances by Valencia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético has had a series of home games.

In this match, Valencia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Rendall T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Alvarez J. (Ankle Injury) Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury) Simeone G. (Injury) Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:40. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 3.41% Valencia: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	7	5	1	1	16:7	9	16
20	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Valencia - Girona	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Elche - Valencia	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLLW
- Atlético Madrid
UEFA Champions League
29.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Elche - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:3 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:1
22.02.25	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:3
15.09.24	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	3:0
28.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:0
16.09.23	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	3:0
18.03.23	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	3:0
29.08.22	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:1

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