Match Info

Date: 16 June 2021, Wednesday


	Vasco da Gama		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.89	3.15	3.8	Watch
	1.92	3.1	4.1
	2.01	3.23	4.41
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	1.98	3.28	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	4 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
47.4%

Draw
29.4%

Avaí
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vasco da Gama - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avaí is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Vasco won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
12.06.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.06.21	Vasco da Gama - Boavista	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.06.21	Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.06.21	Boavista - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.05.21	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTWL
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
13.06.21	Avaí - Brusque	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.06.21	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.06.21	Avaí - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
03.06.21	Avaí - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.05.21	Coritiba - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
10.10.19	Avaí - Vasco da Gama	0:0
19.05.19	Vasco da Gama - Avaí	1:1
Copa do Brasil
10.04.19	Avaí - Vasco da Gama	0:1
14.03.19	Vasco da Gama - Avaí	3:2
Brazilian Serie A
11.10.17	Avaí - Vasco da Gama	1:2
17.06.17	Vasco da Gama - Avaí	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
26.10.16	Vasco da Gama - Avaí	0:0

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