Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Goncalves Lima J. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.75
	1.5	3.7	6.75
	1.51	3.8	6
	1.55	3.84	7.47
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.53	3.88	6.3	Watch
	1.52	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)	3.77 ↑ (3.18)	6.4 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
60.9%

Draw
24.6%

Sampaio Corrêa
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

30.5%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	4.3%	4.3%

Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (43 of 47 users predict this - 91.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.51% – 99.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vasco is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias (Injury) Riquelme (Injury)

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Paulo Sergio (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Vasco to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.22	Vasco da Gama - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:0 ✺
04.10.22	Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama	2:3 ✺
29.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Londrina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.22	Ituano - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
03.10.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
30.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	3:1
09.10.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	1:0
09.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
20.08.16	Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
14.05.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	0:4
23.09.14	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	2:2
20.05.14	Vasco da Gama - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1

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