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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 34.9%
Draw 29.7%
Vasco da Gama 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
30.7%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
30.8%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel (G) 33. Matheus Alexandre 6. Silva J. 40. Ramon Menezes 13. Aderlan 58. Ze Lucas 14. Rivera C. 17. Matheusinho 10. Lucas Lima (C) 38. Leo Pereira 18. Derik Lacerda
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 25. Hugo Moura 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 8. Jair 77. Rayan 10. Coutinho 17. Moreira N. 99. Vegetti P. (C)
Substitutes
20. Atencio R. 22. Caique Franca (G) 30. Chrystian Barletta 48. Felype Gabriel 19. Hyoran 3. Kevyson 21. Lucas Kal 92. Pablo 28. Pedro Augusto 9. Ramirez I. 46. Riquelme 11. Romarinho
90. Alex Teixeira 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 15. Garre B. 11. Gomez C. A. 66. Leandrinho 29. Lucas Oliveira 85. Mateus Carvalho 9. Matheus Franca 22. Paulinho 30. Robert Renan 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Daniel Paulista
Fernando Diniz
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
17', Hugo Moura 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Lucas Lima (Pen),
26', Lucas Lima 🟨,
33', Jair ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
43', 1 - 2, Coutinho ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 3, Vegetti P. (Pen),
66', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
66', Ze Lucas ↓, Romarinho ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Ramon Menezes ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
75', Matheusinho ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
75', Aderlan ↓, Kevyson ↑,
79', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
79', Coutinho ↓, David ↑,
85', Cauan Barros ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
88', Silva J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
90+6', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Igor Carius
(Inactive)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Recife: Lucas Lima
(Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vasco: Cauan Barros
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Brazil
China
Mexico
Portugal
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Gabriel (G) 
Silva J. 
Rivera C. 
Rodriguez J. 
Vegetti P. (C) 
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