Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 24

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	08:30	ESPN
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	12:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	08:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
China	19:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	06:30	ESPN
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	13:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	12:30	Sport 2
Denmark	12:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	15:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	12:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	13:30	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	19:30	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	12:30	Match 4, Net4+
India	17:00	GXR World
Indonesia	18:30	Vidio
Israel	13:30	ONE Sport 2
Italy	12:30	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	12:30	ART Motion Sport 1
Macao	19:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Netherlands	12:30	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	00:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	12:30	VG+
Peru	06:30	ESPN
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	11:30	Sport TV4
Romania	13:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	14:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	14:30	STC TV
Serbia	12:30	Arena Premium 2
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	12:30	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	14:30	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	14:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Arab Emirates	15:30	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	06:30	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	07:30	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	18:30	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
International	11:30	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Venezia		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.8
	4.25	3.7	1.82	Watch
	4.68	3.72	1.85
	4.59	3.7	1.83	Watch
	4	3.5	1.85
	4.55	3.87	1.86	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↓ (4.5)	3.69 ↓ (3.86)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
21.8%

Draw
25.9%

Roma
52.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.7%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

24.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	13.9%	80.6%

Venezia - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Radu I. (G) 2. Cande F. 4. Idzes J. (C) 16. Marcandalli A. 24. Zerbin A. 71. Perez K. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 6. Busio G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Yeboah J. 18. Fila D.	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. (C) 5. Ndicka E. 2. Rensch D. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 4. Cristante B. 3. Angelino 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Dovbyk A.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 79. Carboni F. 31. Chiesurin A. 17. Conde C. 97. Doumbia I. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 5. Haps R. 1. Joronen J. (G) 99. Maric M. 11. Oristanio G. 25. Schingtienne J. 7. Zampano F.	12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 70. De Marzi G. (G) 95. Gollini P. (G) 25. Nelsson V. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 56. Saelemaekers A. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 14. Shomurodov E. 18. Soule M.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Ranieri C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
10', Fila D. 🟨,
24', Cande F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rensch D. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Dybala P. (Pen),
58', Marcandalli A. ↓, Schingtienne J. ↑,
58', Yeboah J. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
58', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
58', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
61', Ndicka E. 🟨,
68', Dybala P. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
69', Celik Z. 🟨,
71', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
80', Perez K. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
80', Fila D. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
90+2', Dovbyk A. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).

Venezia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Roma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Duncan A. (Calf Injury) Stankovic F. (Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Kone M. (Yellow Cards) Marin R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Crnigoj D. (Injury) Sagrado R. (Thigh Injury) Sverko M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Paredes L. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
01.02.25	Udinese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
27.01.25	Venezia - Verona	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Parma - Venezia	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT
- AS Roma
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Roma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Roma - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
26.01.25	Udinese - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1
14.05.22	Roma - Venezia	1:1
07.11.21	Venezia - Roma	3:2

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