Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 24

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	ESPN
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Venezia		Roma

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.8
	4.25	3.7	1.82	Watch
	4.68	3.72	1.85
	4.59	3.7	1.83	Watch
	4	3.5	1.85
	4.55	3.87	1.86	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↓ (4.5)	3.69 ↓ (3.86)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Venezia
21.8%

Draw
25.9%

Roma
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.7%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

24.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	13.9%	80.6%

Venezia - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Radu I. (G) 2. Cande F. 4. Idzes J. (C) 16. Marcandalli A. 24. Zerbin A. 71. Perez K. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 6. Busio G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Yeboah J. 18. Fila D.	99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. (C) 5. Ndicka E. 2. Rensch D. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 4. Cristante B. 3. Angelino 21. Dybala P. 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Dovbyk A.
Substitutes
19. Bjarkason B. 79. Carboni F. 31. Chiesurin A. 17. Conde C. 97. Doumbia I. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 5. Haps R. 1. Joronen J. (G) 99. Maric M. 11. Oristanio G. 25. Schingtienne J. 7. Zampano F.	12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 66. Buba Aboubacar 70. De Marzi G. (G) 95. Gollini P. (G) 25. Nelsson V. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 56. Saelemaekers A. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 14. Shomurodov E. 18. Soule M.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Ranieri C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
10', Fila D. 🟨,
24', Cande F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rensch D. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Dybala P. (Pen),
58', Marcandalli A. ↓, Schingtienne J. ↑,
58', Yeboah J. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
58', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
58', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Nelsson V. ↑,
61', Ndicka E. 🟨,
68', Dybala P. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
69', Celik Z. 🟨,
71', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
80', Perez K. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
80', Fila D. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
90+2', Dovbyk A. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).

Venezia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Roma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Duncan A. (Calf Injury) Stankovic F. (Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Kone M. (Yellow Cards) Marin R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Crnigoj D. (Injury) Sagrado R. (Thigh Injury) Sverko M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roma: Paredes L. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
01.02.25	Udinese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
27.01.25	Venezia - Verona	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Parma - Venezia	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT
- AS Roma
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Roma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Roma - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
26.01.25	Udinese - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Roma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1
14.05.22	Roma - Venezia	1:1
07.11.21	Venezia - Roma	3:2

Upcoming Matches