Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, VOOsport World 2
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	ESPN 4
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	21:00	Sport TV1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Roma		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	5	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.75
	1.75	3.75	5
	1.73	3.9	5.21
	1.69	3.9	4.99	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.77	3.99	4.67
	1.75	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	4.9 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Roma
55.4%

Draw
25%

Eintracht Frankfurt
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

24.5%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

27%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.2%	18.2%	15.6%

Roma - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 50 - 66.7%). Eintracht will win (votes: 11 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 18.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 56% – 77.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 15. Hummels M. 5. Ndicka E. 56. Saelemaekers A. 17. Kone M. 16. Paredes L. 7. Pellegrini Lo. (C) 3. Angelino 21. Dybala P. 11. Dovbyk A.	1. Trapp K. (C) 35. Tuta 4. Koch R. 3. Theate A. 13. Kristensen R. 15. Skhiri E. 16. Larsson H. 36. Knauff A. 19. Bahoya J. 8. Chaibi F. 11. Ekitike H.
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 35. Baldanzi T. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 92. El Shaarawy S. 73. Marcaccini A. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 14. Shomurodov E. 18. Soule M. 59. Zalewski N.	5. Amenda A. 22. Chandler T. 34. Collins N. 18. Dahoud M. 27. Gotze M. 38. Is E. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 9. Matanovic I. 29. Nkounkou N. 42. Siljevic A. (G) 20. Uzun C. Y.
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Angelino ⚽, Mancini G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
61', Paredes L. ↓, Cristante B. ↑,
64', Larsson H. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
64', Knauff A. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
64', Bahoya J. ↓, Nkounkou N. ↑,
67', Dovbyk A. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
72', Ekitike H. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
80', Dybala P. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
80', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Celik Z. ↑,
84', Chaibi F. ↓, Is E. ↑,

Preview

Roma is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eintracht in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Roma is a favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Hermoso M. (Coach's decision) Marin R. (Injury) Rensch D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Eintracht: Dina Ebimbe J. (Calf Injury) Wahi E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Brown N. (Injury) Dahoud M. (Illness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
26.01.25	Udinese - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Roma	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.01.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1 ✺
12.01.25	Bologna - Roma	2:2 ✺
05.01.25	Roma - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWTW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
26.01.25	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Ferencvárosi	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
11.01.25	St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWWW

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