The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 29%
Draw 33.6%
Bahia 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
32%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
30.9%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.9%
56.5%
32.6%
Vila Nova - Bahia Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 5 - 10.9%). Bahia will win (votes: 15 - 32.6%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 56.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.2% – 70.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Recently Bahia have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Vila Nova: Victor Andrade
(Injury)
There will not play in Bahia: Jonathan
(Injury)
Marco Antonio
(Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.