The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa San Carlos 33.2%
Draw 33.8%
Villa Dálmine 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.2%
30%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
29.5%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa San Carlos's performance.
Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa San Carlos - Villa Dálmine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Akimenco T. (G) 10. Cairo F. 3. Canete S. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. 7. Lugones A. 6. Machin L. 11. Mussis F. 2. Ponton A. 9. Salinas R.
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 4. Britos M. 8. Carlucci V. 7. Morales M. 5. Nizzo M. 9. Paez M. 10. Prim S. 3. Ramon E. 11. Torres G. 2. Zurita M.
Substitutes
15. Acosta A. 19. Almiron M. 16. Alvarez R. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Fabi S. 13. Martinez A. 20. Plastino M. 17. Villagra J. 18. Zegarra Z.
12. Friedrich G. (G) 16. Gargiulo V. 20. Gimenez F. 14. Nievas A. 19. Oro P. 18. Ponzo T. 17. Resquin G. 15. Solis M. 13. Spampinato P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Agorreca N. (Own goal),
31', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Britos M. ↓, Spampinato P. ↑,
47', 🟨,
56', Morales M. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
56', Torres G. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Salinas R. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Lugones A. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
70', Carlucci V. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
70', Prim S. ↓, Ponzo T. ↑,
73', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 5th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs).
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Villa San Carlos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Villa San Carlos has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villa San Carlos against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Villa Dalmine ✔
41
18
14
9
40:27
13
68
12
Villa San Carlos
41
12
14
15
40:45
-5
50
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.24%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Akimenco T. (G) 
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