Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	Villarreal		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5.25	4.4	1.55
	5.6	4.5	1.6
	5.4	4.5	1.55
	5.46	4.53	1.61
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5.3	4.65	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↓ (5.6)	4.46 ↑ (4.22)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
17.9%

Draw
21.5%

Bayern Munich
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

22.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.3%	6.3%	87.3%

Villarreal - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (179 of 205 users predict this - 87.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.76% – 91.88%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Villarreal was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (16%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Villarreal have a series of guest games.

In this match Bayern is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
02.04.22	Levante - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
20.03.22	Cádiz - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.03.22	Juventus - Villarreal	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.03.22	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Osasuna - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
02.04.22	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
19.03.22	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
12.03.22	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.03.22	Bayern Munich - Red Bull Salzburg	7:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.03.22	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTWT

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