Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	Villarreal		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.72
	4.33	4	1.73
	4.75	4.1	1.75
	4.4	4	1.77
	4.6	4.15	1.78
	4.5	3.8	1.73
	4.6	4.15	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4.44)	4.03 ↓ (4.34)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
21.3%

Draw
23.8%

Liverpool
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

22.6%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

23.7%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	13.7%	65.6%

Villarreal - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 131 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 27 - 20.6%). Liverpool will win (votes: 86 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 13.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 57.5% – 73.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg.

Villarreal was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Liverpool was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, was already of semis, has a very good chance of final (96%), has a good chance of win league (51%).

This event has big quality 86, very big importance 100, very big match rating 93. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liverpool in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Villarreal have a series of guest games.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
30.04.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.04.22	Liverpool - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.04.22	Villarreal - Valencia	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Getafe - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.04.22	Bayern Munich - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWWT
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
30.04.22	Newcastle United - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.04.22	Liverpool - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.04.22	Liverpool - Everton	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Liverpool - Manchester United	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.04.22	Manchester City - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
27.04.22	Liverpool - Villarreal	2:0
UEFA Europa League
05.05.16	Liverpool - Villarreal	3:0
28.04.16	Villarreal - Liverpool	1:0

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