Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7
Bolivia	ESPN 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 9
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 6
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	FOX One
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 6
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 6
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii Spor 4, Tabii
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 6


	Villarreal		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	3.25
	2.15	3.50	3.25
	2.17	3.40	3.35
	2.25	3.55	3.44
	2.09	3.76	3.49	Watch
	2.20	3.45	3.40
	2.28	3.56	3.12
	2.18	3.60	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	3.33 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villarreal
44%

Draw
27.1%

Napoli
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

25.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	39.3%	14.3%

Villarreal - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Napoli will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Napoli (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - under (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Napoli (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 2 - 25%). Napoli (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 20. Romero C. 24. Saliba N. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 10. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 9. Mikautadze G.	32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 16. Marin R. 13. Rrahmani A. 5. Badiashile B. 21. Politano M. 6. Gilmour B. 8. McTominay S. 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 11. De Bruyne K. 23. Giovane 19. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
11. Akhomach I. 23. Cardona S. 2. Costa L. 5. Diatta A. 27. El Jmili N. 8. Foyth J. 3. Freeman A. 28. Gaitan J. 13. Gomez R. (G) 16. Macia C. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 22. Perez A.	31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 70. Lang N. 68. Lobotka S. 20. Lucca L. 1. Meret A. (G) 37. Spinazzola L.
Coaches
Perez I.	Allegri M.

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Villarreal is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Villarreal: Buchanan T. (Muscle Injury) Pepe N. (Eye injury).

Confirmed absences for Napoli: Alisson Santos (Muscle Injury) Anguissa F. (Groin Injury) Buongiorno A. (Knee Injury) Favasuli C. (Thigh Injury) Marianucci L. (Off the roster) Olivera M. (Groin Injury) Vergara A. (Calf Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Villarreal against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Napoli: 1.21% Villarreal: 0.92%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Real Madrid - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Villarreal - Levante	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Málaga - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Villarreal - Betis	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Napoli - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.12.22	Napoli - Villarreal	2:3
UEFA Europa League
25.02.16	Napoli - Villarreal	1:1
18.02.16	Villarreal - Napoli	1:0

Upcoming Matches