Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.4	3	3	Watch
	2.62	3.05	3.08
	2.41	3.11	3.06	Watch
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.37	3.13	3.23	Watch
	2.54	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.47)	3.03 ↑ (2.97)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
38.3%

Draw
30.9%

Catanzaro
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

31.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

31.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Catanzaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Virtus Entella - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Entella: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 15. Marconi I. 3. Alborghetti M. 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Squizzato N. 8. Karic N. 26. Di Mario S. 24. Franzoni A. 10. Cuppone L. 19. Debenedetti A.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 20. Pontisso S. 10. Petriccione J. 77. D'Alessandro M. 14. Liberali M. 19. Nuamah P. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
Substitutes
7. Bariti D. 32. Benedetti L. 77. Boccadamo A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 57. Del Lungo T. 11. Guiu B. 38. Pilati A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 9. Stabile D. P. 17. Tirelli M. 46. Turicchia R.	30. Alesi G. 98. Buglio D. 94. Di Francesco F. 2. Esteves G. 6. Fellipe Jack 62. Frosinini R. 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 8. Pittarello F. 21. Pompetti M. 32. Rispoli F. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Matias Antonini 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Favasuli C. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Matias Antonini ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
62', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
65', Debenedetti A. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
65', Marconi I. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
66', Liberali M. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Petriccione J. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
70', 1 - 2, Franzoni A. ⚽,
72', Karic N. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
72', Parodi L. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Pompetti M. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
78', Tirelli M. 🟨,
79', Cuppone L. 🟨,
80', Cuppone L. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
82', Pontisso S. ↓, Rispoli F. ↑,
82', Nuamah P. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Virtus Entella has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Catanzaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Injury) Oudin R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Tiritiello A. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Catanzaro: 0.82% Entella: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6
18	Catanzaro	6	1	0	5	6:12	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.73%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Palermo - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Spezia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juve Stabia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTTL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
14.02.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Pescara - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Catanzaro - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Catanzaro - Virtus Entella	3:2

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