Match Info

Serie B - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Palermo		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5.15	Watch
	1.64	3.89	5.8
	1.65	3.7	5.35	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.63	3.68	5.51	Watch
	1.69	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	3.69 ↓ (3.78)	5.34 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
57.2%

Draw
25.3%

Virtus Entella
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

24.5%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.5%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Palermo - Virtus Entella Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Joronen J. (G) 32. Ceccaroni P. 13. Bani M. 19. Bereszynski B. 27. Pierozzi N. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 3. Augello T. 21. Le Douaron J. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 5. Palumbo A.	1. Colombi S. (G) 57. Del Lungo T. 3. Alborghetti M. 15. Marconi I. 94. Mezzoni F. 8. Karic N. 5. Squizzato N. 26. Di Mario S. 11. Guiu B. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 10. Cuppone L.
Substitutes
28. Blin A. 31. Corona G. 17. Giovane S. 6. Gomes C. 1. Gomis A. (G) 11. Gyasi E. 7. Johnsen D. 96. Magnani G. 18. Modesto R. 29. Peda P. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.	7. Bariti D. 32. Benedetti L. 19. Debenedetti A. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 24. Franzoni A. 4. Nichetti M. 23. Parodi L. 38. Pilati A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 9. Stabile D. P. 17. Tirelli M. 46. Turicchia R.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Chiappella A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Ranocchia F. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Pierozzi N. ⚽,
53', Del Lungo T. ↓, Parodi L. ↑,
53', Guiu B. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
65', Cuppone L. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
65', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Franzoni A. ↑,
70', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
70', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
70', Bereszynski B. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
73', Marconi I. ↓, Pilati A. ↑,
77', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
81', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Palermo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Virtus Entella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Palermo: Modesto R. (Injury)

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Palermo: Peda P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Tiritiello A. (Inactive)

We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	14:7	7	16
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
10.02.26	Sampdoria - Palermo	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Palermo - Empoli	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Bari - Palermo	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Modena - Palermo	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Palermo - Spezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWTW
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
10.02.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Spezia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juve Stabia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.11.25	Virtus Entella - Palermo	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
21.05.22	Palermo - Virtus Entella	2:2
17.05.22	Virtus Entella - Palermo	1:2
Italian Serie B
29.03.18	Virtus Entella - Palermo	1:2
28.10.17	Palermo - Virtus Entella	2:0

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