Match Info

J1 League - Round 5

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Vissel Kobe		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.57	Watch
	2.62	3.15	2.62	Watch
	2.76	3.4	2.68
	2.66	3.32	2.67	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.64	3.18	2.64	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
35.6%

Draw
28.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

27.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 23. Hirose R. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 16. Caetano 5. Goke Y. 6. Ogihara T. 7. Ideguchi Y. 44. Hidaka M. 29. Komatsu R. 41. Nagato K.	99. Ouchi I. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Matsumoto T. 13. Arai N. 39. Nakamura S. 17. Kinoshita K. 10. Suzuki A.
Substitutes
15. Diego 71. Gonda S. (G) 2. Iino N. 14. Inui T. 26. Jean Patric 25. Kuwasaki Y. 80. Nduka B. 10. Osako Y. 24. Sakai G.	30. Arslan T. 24. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 41. Maeda N. 35. Nakajima Y. 40. Ohara M. 16. Shichi T. 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Gaul B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Hidaka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hidaka M. ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
46', Komatsu R. ↓, Diego ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
52', Thuler M. 🟨,
63', Goke Y. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
66', Suzuki A. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
66', Shiotani T. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Ogihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Arai N. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
87', Nakamura S. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
90+2', Diego 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Osako Y. ⚽,
90+4', Matsumoto T. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Knee Injury) Muto Y. (Surgery)

There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Injury) Kim Ju-Sung (International duty) Osako K. (International duty)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Osako Y. (Muscle Injury) Sasaki D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
22.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe	2:1 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.26	Vissel Kobe - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	FC Seoul - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
22.03.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
18.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
16.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0
Japan J1 League
20.08.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe	0:1
02.07.25	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0
Japan Super Cup
07.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2
Japan J1 League
05.07.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe	1:3
16.03.24	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0
16.09.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe	2:0

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