Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 21

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Vitória Salvador		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.10	2.01	Watch
	3.75	3.20	2.10
	4.00	3.20	1.98	Watch
	4.25	3.28	2.07
	3.71	3.46	2.05	Watch
	4.15	3.20	2.00
	4.12	3.19	2.06	Watch
	3.95	3.20	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.75)	3.23 ↓ (3.38)	2.04 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
23.9%

Draw
29.5%

Palmeiras
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

27.9%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palmeiras will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 70. Fabiano 2. Britez E. 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 10. Matheuzinho 44. Baralhas (C) 95. Caique Goncalves 6. Emmanuel Martinez 91. Rene	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 26. Murilo 15. Gomez G. (C) 2. Barboza A. 40. Allan Elias 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 22. Piquerez J. 11. Arias J. 18. Mauricio 19. Sosa R.
Substitutes
33. Erick 23. Fabricio 83. Jamerson 7. Marinho 98. Matheusinho 11. Osvaldo 8. Pochettino T. 79. Renato Kayzer 12. Tarzia D. 15. Walace 71. Yuri (G) 88. Ze Vitor	56. Arthur Gabriel 43. Benedetti 7. Felipe Anderson 4. Giay A. 21. Kaique Pereira (G) 12. Khellven 42. Lopez J. 30. Lucas Evangelista 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 37. Riquelme Fillipi 9. Vitor Roque
Coaches
Jair Ventura	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
27', Mauricio 🟨,
32', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
37', Caca 🟥,
40', Luan Candido 🟥,
41', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
45+1', 0 - 1, Mauricio ⚽, Arias J. (A),
45+6', 0 - 2, Fabiano (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rene ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
46', Gomez G. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
46', Marlon Freitas ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
46', Mauricio ↓, Khellven ↑,
46', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
56', Fabiano 🟨,
65', Barboza A. ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
66', Britez E. 🟨,
67', Fabiano ↓, Jamerson ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Arias J. ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
74', Arias J. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
74', Baralhas ↓, Walace ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Sosa R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.

Vitória is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga (Broken Leg) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Jefte (Knee Injury) Lopez J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vitória: Anderson (Knee Injury) Cantalapiedra A. (Personal Reasons) Riccieli (Calf Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	54:22	32	66
13	Vitoria	31	10	7	14	34:45	-11	37

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Palmeiras: 38.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Remo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.06.26	Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTWWW
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Palmeiras - Atlético Mineiro	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Coritiba - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
31.05.26	Palmeiras - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Palmeiras - Junior Barranquilla	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Flamengo - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	5:1
19.11.25	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	0:0
03.08.25	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	2:2
27.07.24	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	0:2
14.04.24	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	0:1
02.12.18	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	3:2
19.08.18	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	0:3

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