Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 35

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Vitória Salvador		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3	3.9
	2.05	3	4	Watch
	2.08	3.15	4.48
	2.08	3.02	4.48
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.18	4.25	Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	4.11 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
46.6%

Draw
30.6%

Vila Nova
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Vitória Salvador - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 22. Railan 13. Camutanga 4. Wagner Leonardo 2. Zeca (C) 5. Matheus Trindade 8. Rodrigo Andrade 7. Matheuzinho 10. Giovanni Augusto 9. Leo Gamalho 11. Osvaldo	25. Denis Junior (G) 2. Marcelinho 5. Rafael Donato (C) 3. Doma 6. Rodrigo 18. Cristiano 23. Igor Henrique 10. Lourenco 11. Juan Christian 19. Caio Dantas 77. Guilherme Parede
Substitutes
6. Edson Lucas 18. Gege 16. Jhonny Lucas 3. Joao Victor 17. Jose Hugo 15. Leo Gomes 14. Marco Antonio 21. Mateus Goncalves 20. Thiago Lopes 12. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 19. Welder 23. Yan Souto	91. Henrique Almeida 4. Jean Pierre 20. Joao Lucas 22. Leo Duarte 7. Marlone 8. Ralf 21. Romarinho 17. Ronald 15. Sousa 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Conde L.	Magalhaes H.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Vitória is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Vila Nova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vitória will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vitória: Felipe Vieira (Injury) Iury Castilho (Injury) Vicente (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Luciano Naninho (Red Card)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Ralf (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.23	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Vitória Salvador - Guarani	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Criciúma - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
29.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.23	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Tombense - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
11.10.23	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Guarani - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Vila Nova - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.07.23	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	1:0
28.11.21	Vitória Salvador - Vila Nova	0:1
18.08.21	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	0:0
03.09.19	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	0:2
04.05.19	Vitória Salvador - Vila Nova	2:1

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