Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 29

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)


	Vitesse		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.1	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.25
	2.08	3.7	3.05	Watch
	2.09	4.01	3.16
	2.04	4.03	3.08	Watch
	2.05	3.7	2.9
	2.05	3.75	3.14	Watch
	1.88	3.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)	3.81 ↓ (3.9)	3.14 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
46%

Draw
24.4%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

23.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

23.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 28. Buttner A. (C) 33. Marschalk M. 21. Schwarz R. 13. Pinto J. 19. Tahaui A. 7. Hoogewerf D. 9. Huth E.	1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Menu M. 4. Dekker M. (C) 5. Andersen F. E. 8. Robbemond R. 6. Twisk N. 7. Hartog J. 10. Oerip J. 11. Smits A. 9. van den Ban Y.
Substitutes
20. Bannis N. 31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 8. Moustafa A. 43. Olde Keizer C. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 6. Schikora M. 23. Siecker J. (G) 38. te Veluwe K. 22. Thenu X. 27. Zonneveld N.	21. Bouziane W. 15. Esajas J. 14. Ichihara R. 20. Johannessen T. 19. Osazuwa S. 12. Oud J. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 17. van der Klaauw D. 18. van Driel B.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Peereboom F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Hoogewerf D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dekker M. ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
46', Oerip J. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
46', Twisk N. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
60', Bonnah S. 🟨,
63', Zwart J. 🟨,
64', Tahaui A. ↓, Schikora M. ↑,
64', Huth E. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
67', Schwarz R. 🟨,
70', Smits A. ↓, Bouziane W. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Hoogewerf D. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
76', Pinto J. 🟨,
82', Zwart J. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
85', Buttner A. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
85', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
89', Schwarz R. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
90+1', Ouallil Y. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 16).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vitesse could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jong AZ	12	5	2	5	31:26	5	17
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.02.26	Willem II - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	FC Oss - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Vitesse - FC Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Vitesse - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWTL
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.02.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:3 ✺
09.02.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
26.01.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.09.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse	4:0
04.04.25	Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:2
13.09.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Vitesse	0:1

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