Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 25

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Vitesse		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.95
	2.12	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.16	3.73	3.18
	2.11	3.8	3.06	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.1	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.08	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.33)	3.64 ↓ (3.73)	3.07 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
44.2%

Draw
25.5%

Dordrecht
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vitesse - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Vitesse (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Dordrecht (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dordrecht (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 28. Buttner A. (C) 6. Schikora M. 33. Marschalk M. 13. Pinto J. 19. Tahaui A. 7. Hoogewerf D. 9. Huth E.	63. Biai C. (G) 20. Yoon D. 3. Valk S. (C) 15. M'Bemba Y. 18. van Asten R. 5. Hilton J. 16. Bae S. 22. Darelas A. 8. Sunderland L. 9. Carrillo S. 59. de Bie J.
Substitutes
31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 39. Huetink F. 8. Moustafa A. 43. Olde Keizer C. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 38. te Veluwe K. 22. Thenu X. 27. Zonneveld N.	11. Afaker M. 13. Artic T. (G) 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 24. Huitzing G. 14. Pynadath J. 29. Rossi N. 2. van Aken J. . Van de Giessen L. 10. van der Sluijs J. 7. Venema N. 21. Vetkal M.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Pinto J. 🟨,
25', Hilton J. ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
26', Huth E. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Buttner A. ⚽, Marschalk M. (A),
34', Sunderland L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Carrillo S. ⚽, Yoon D. (A),
64', Carrillo S. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
65', Sunderland L. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
67', Bonnah S. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Venema N. ⚽, de Bie J. (A),
75', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
76', Bonnah S. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
76', Huth E. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
76', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
83', Yoon D. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
90', Marschalk M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 2.

Recent performances by Vitesse have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dordrecht is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dordrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vitesse could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dordrecht: van Vianen D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.39% Dordrecht: 0.65%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.94%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Helmond Sport - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Den Bosch - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Vitesse - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWTLW
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Waalwijk - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	3:4 ✺
06.12.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Dordrecht - Vitesse	1:1
24.01.25	Vitesse - Dordrecht	0:3
22.10.24	Dordrecht - Vitesse	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
18.04.15	Vitesse - Dordrecht	3:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.14	Vitesse - Dordrecht	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.14	Dordrecht - Vitesse	2:6

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