Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Vitesse		Rennes

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	3.6	3.6	1.95
	3.95	3.7	1.92
	3.45	3.4	1.99
	3.66	3.62	2.06
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.56	3.56	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.73)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	2.02 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitesse
26.6%

Draw
26.9%

Rennes
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

19.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitesse's form might have worsened.

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rennes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitesse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rennes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	23.6%	56.4%

Vitesse - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 11 - 20%). Rennes will win (votes: 31 - 56.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 23.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 43.3% – 69.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Vitesse is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rennes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rennes will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
25.09.21	Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
22.09.21	Groningen - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Vitesse - Twente	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.09.21	Mura - Vitesse	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.09.21	Waalwijk - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
26.09.21	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:1 ✺
22.09.21	Rennes - Clermont	6:0 ✺
19.09.21	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.09.21	Rennes - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.09.21	Rennes - Reims	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTL

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