Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vitoria Guimarães		Arouca

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.40	4.00	Watch
	1.93	3.50	3.75
	1.88	3.50	3.95	Watch
	1.97	3.58	4.12
	1.94	3.56	3.9	Watch
	1.92	3.50	4.00
	1.98	3.52	4.14	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)	3.96 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
49.1%

Draw
27%

Arouca
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vitoria Guimarães will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Zych O. (G) 2. Maga 4. Rivas Viondi O. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. II. 16. Beni 8. Nogueira G. 11. Gustavo 20. Samu (C) 7. Camara O. 24. Ndoye A.	12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Fontan J. 21. Flores M. 8. Fukui T. 6. van Ee E. 19. Trezza A. 14. Lee H. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.
Substitutes
18. Arcanjo T. 22. Castillo J. (G) 82. Dias F. 44. Doucet L. 98. Lucas Furtado (G) 6. Mitrovic M. 17. Nogueira M. 5. Sidibe A. 23. Strata T. 56. Verdi S.	37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 10. Gozalbez P. 18. Lebedenko O. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 4. Monteiro D. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 5. Popovic B. 1. Vinarcik J. (G)
Coaches
Margarido T.	Seabra V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Barbero I. ⚽, Djouahra N. (A),
64', Lee H. 🟨,
65', Flores M. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
65', Barbero I. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
69', Camara O. 🟨,
69', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
70', Camara O. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
70', Lee H. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
70', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
73', Sanchez J. ↓, Monteiro D. ↑,
78', Ndoye A. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
78', Nogueira G. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
90', Monteiro D. 🟨,
90+2', Lebedenko O. 🟨,
90+3', Monteiro D. 🟨,
90+4', De Arruabarrena I. 🟨,
90+6', Gustavo ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
90+6', Mitrovic M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 2.

Arouca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guimarães is the team to beat.

There will not play in Arouca: Puche (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11
14	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Vitoria Guimarães - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.34%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Chaves	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Nacional - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLL
- FC Arouca
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Santa Clara - Arouca	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Arouca - Tondela	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
24.04.26	Alverca - Arouca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
07.02.26	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2
30.08.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	1:1
18.01.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	2:2
12.08.24	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1
18.05.24	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3
15.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	2:1
11.03.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	0:2

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