The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heerenveen 64.7%
Draw 18.6%
Heracles Almelo 16.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.6%
18.6%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
18.1%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
4.2%
4.2%
Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Heerenveen (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Heerenveen (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5 - Heerenveen (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heerenveen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 10 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 6. van Overeem J. (C) 16. Linday M. 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 7. Rivera M. 18. Nordas L.
22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Benita M. 4. Mirani D. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 32. Scheperman S. 10. Bruns T. 14. Ahlstrand E. 73. Ould Chikh W. 8. Engels M. 25. Zeefuik L.
Substitutes
35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 30. Schreuder T. (G)
21. Borges Sanches Y. 6. Cestic S. 16. Jansink T. (G) 42. Kerkdijk J. 19. Kulenovic L. 7. Limbombe B. 30. Mantel R. (G) 9. Unuvar N. 5. van der Kust D. 17. van Gilst T. 3. Wieckhoff J.
Coaches
Veldman R.
Faber E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Engels M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
45+3', Benita M. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Nordas L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zeefuik L. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
47', 3 - 1, Pasveer R. (Own goal),
51', 4 - 1, Rivera M. ⚽,
58', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
58', Mesik I. ↓, van der Kust D. ↑,
58', Engels M. ↓, Cestic S. ↑,
64', van Overeem J. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
77', Willemsen M. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
77', Zagaritis V. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
77', Bruns T. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
85', Nordas L. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
85', Trenskow J. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 3.
Heerenveen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Heracles's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Heerenveen is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Illness)
There will not play in Heracles: Kulenovic L.
(Inactive)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
de Keijzer F.
(Inactive)
te Wierik M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Heracles: Hrustic A.
(Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
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Klaverboer B. (G) 
Braude O. 
Zagaritis V. 
Linday M. 
Trenskow J. 
Rivera M. 
Van Hoorenbeeck A. 
Mesik I. 
Engels M. 
Ahmed I. 
Petrov H. 
Borges Sanches Y. 
Cestic S. 
Kulenovic L. 
Unuvar N. 
van der Kust D. 
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