Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 28

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Volendam		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.5	4.6	6.21
	1.54	4.34	5.43	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6
	1.48	4.6	5.8	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)	4.45 ↑ (3.98)	5.74 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
62.4%

Draw
21.2%

Helmond Sport
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

22.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volendam's performance.

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	5.3%	0%

Volendam - Helmond Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: Volendam will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. van Oevelen K. (G) 12. Payne D. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 18. Bukala N. 36. de Haan M. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 21. Muhren R. 10. Kuwas B. 9. Veerman H. (C)	1. van der Steen W. (G) 41. Dekkers S. 4. Halhal R. 5. Scholz J. (C) 27. Absalem A. 19. Ingason H. 22. Dizdarevic A. 47. Doudah M. 11. Daneels L. 39. van den Hurk A. 32. Essakkati T.
Substitutes
25. Blondeau L. 15. Bouziane A. 23. Curiel G. 28. Esajas S. 8. Jacobs Ja. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 11. Oehlers A. 30. Samson Y. (G) 14. Steur D. 39. Zijlstra M.	7. Bisselink S. 10. Golliard T. 21. Hendriks T. (G) 12. Ogenia J. 8. Ostrc E. 2. Pachonik T. 9. Sits D. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 52. Van Himbeeck A. 17. Van Hove B. 29. Zimuangana O.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Maaskant R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Payne D. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Muhren R. ⚽, Leliendal Y. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Ingason H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Muhren R. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
63', van den Hurk A. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
63', Ingason H. ↓, Golliard T. ↑,
72', de Haan M. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
72', Kuwas B. ↓, Esajas S. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Oehlers A. ⚽, Jacobs Ja. (A),
85', Dizdarevic A. 🟨,
85', Essakkati T. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Oehlers A. ⚽, Esajas S. (A),
90', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Pachonik T. ↑,
90', Doudah M. ↓, Van Himbeeck A. ↑,
90+2', Veerman H. ↓, Zijlstra M. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volendam won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Helmond Sport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Volendam is a favorite.

There will not play in Helmond Sport: Absalem A. (Yellow Cards) Ludwig M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Volendam: Anita V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Helmond Sport: Sits D. (Foot Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Volendam won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 43:22 (average 2.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Volendam won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24:10 (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.02.25	VVV-Venlo - Volendam	1:3 ✺
15.02.25	Emmen - Volendam	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Volendam - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Den Bosch - Volendam	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Volendam - MVV Maastricht	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.02.25	Helmond Sport - Emmen	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Helmond Sport - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Excelsior - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Helmond Sport - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.09.24	Helmond Sport - Volendam	2:3
25.02.22	Volendam - Helmond Sport	4:1
03.12.21	Helmond Sport - Volendam	1:1
09.04.21	Volendam - Helmond Sport	5:1
18.09.20	Helmond Sport - Volendam	0:1
31.01.20	Volendam - Helmond Sport	2:1
09.08.19	Helmond Sport - Volendam	1:1

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