Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)


	Volendam		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.7	2.3
	2.62	3.55	2.58
	2.65	3.77	2.58
	2.67	3.47	2.57	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.4
	2.75	3.62	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.56)	3.57 ↑ (3.54)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
35.5%

Draw
26.5%

Telstar
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.7%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	46.2%	23.1%

Volendam - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Telstar will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Steur R. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. (C) 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 18. Bukala N. 4. Bacuna J. 8. Yah G. 77. Ould-Chikh B. 99. Descotte A. 29. Pauwels B.	1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 37. van Duijn S. 30. Tejan K. 27. Brouwer P.
Substitutes
25. Blondeau L. 10. Kuwas B. 23. Kwakman D. 27. Mau-Asam M. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 6. Plat A. 30. Samson Y. (G) 40. van Cruijsen R. 9. Veerman H. 22. Vlak D. (G)	3. Alders G. 13. Bodak T. (G) 7. Hetli S. 15. Lechkar A. 5. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 8. Owusu T. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 9. Seedorf J.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Descotte A. ⚽, Bacuna J. (A),
27', Leliendal Y. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Bakker D. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Verschuren N. 🟨,
61', Noslin T. 🟨,
61', Pauwels B. ↓, Veerman H. ↑,
66', van Duijn S. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
66', Noslin T. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
67', Tejan K. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
70', Bukala N. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
70', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
81', Verschuren N. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
81', Yah G. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
82', Rossen N. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Koeman R. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Koeman R. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Telstar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Telstar - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.36%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.26	Excelsior - Volendam	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Volendam - Heerenveen	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Heracles Almelo - Volendam	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Twente - Volendam	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Volendam - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWLT
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.26	Telstar - Heracles Almelo	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Utrecht - Telstar	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Telstar - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.08.25	Telstar - Volendam	2:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.03.25	Volendam - Telstar	3:0
03.11.24	Telstar - Volendam	2:2
09.01.22	Volendam - Telstar	2:1
15.10.21	Telstar - Volendam	1:5
25.04.21	Volendam - Telstar	2:0
30.08.20	Telstar - Volendam	2:2

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