Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3


	Utrecht		Telstar

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.9	5.35
	1.61	4.4	5.93
	1.57	4.05	5.88	Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.6
	1.66	3.89	5.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	4.04 ↑ (3.9)	5.57 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
59.2%

Draw
23.6%

Telstar
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.9%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Utrecht - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 23. Vesterlund N. 40. Didden M. 3. van der Hoorn M. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 77. Alarcon A. 20. de Wit D. 10. Cathline Y. 18. Stepanov A.	1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 23. Hatenboer C. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 27. Brouwer P. 37. van Duijn S.
Substitutes
5. Adiele E. 15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 43. El Arguioui R. 51. Eppink M. (G) 52. Eversen J. (G) 91. Haller S. 2. Horemans S. 11. Karlsson J. 9. Min D. 53. Viereck N.	13. Bodak T. (G) 7. Hetli S. 21. Koswal D. 5. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 17. Rossen N. 9. Seedorf J. 30. Tejan K.
Coaches
Jans R.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Didden M. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
38', El Karouani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', Ogidi Nwankwo N. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Bakker D. ⚽, Hatenboer C. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Zechiel G. ⚽, Cathline Y. (A),
63', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Rossen N. ↑,
67', de Wit D. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, de Wit D. ⚽,
76', van Duijn S. ↓, Oudsten R. ↑,
76', Noslin T. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
76', Alarcon A. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
84', Hatenboer C. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
84', Brouwer P. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
87', Zechiel G. ↓, Horemans S. ↑,
90', Stepanov A. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
90', El Karouani S. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Karlsson J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

Utrecht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Telstar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Utrecht is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M. (Thigh Injury) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez M. (Knee Injury) van Ommeren J. (Injury)

There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A. (Muscle Injury) Ogidi Nwankwo N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Telstar: Malone D. (Inactive) Thorisson N. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	PSV Eindhoven - Utrecht	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Twente - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Heracles Almelo - Utrecht	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWTW
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	Telstar - Groningen	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Telstar - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.25	Telstar - Utrecht	1:1

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