Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Kras Stadion (Volendam)

Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)


	Volendam		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.35	3.75	2.50
	2.35	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.39	4.15	2.57
	2.35	4.05	2.56	Watch
	2.3	4.05	2.5
	2.33	3.86	2.51	Watch
	2.33	3.7	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)	3.86 ↑ (3.76)	2.53 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volendam
39.5%

Draw
23.9%

Vitesse
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

24.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Volendam - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 8th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Volendam has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:9 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volendam against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.94% Vitesse: 3.18%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15:13	2	14
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20:17	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Vitesse - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.89%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Almere City - Volendam	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Volendam - VVV-Venlo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Volendam - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Emmen - Volendam	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Vitesse - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Vitesse - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Roda - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Vitesse - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.01.25	Volendam - Vitesse	4:0
04.10.24	Vitesse - Volendam	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
18.02.24	Vitesse - Volendam	1:1
11.08.23	Volendam - Vitesse	1:2
18.02.23	Volendam - Vitesse	2:0
17.09.22	Vitesse - Volendam	1:1
Club Friendly
06.09.12	Vitesse - Volendam	4:1

Volendam - Vitesse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide