The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Waalwijk 44.6%
Draw 26.8%
Fortuna Sittard 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
25.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
24.8%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.9%
9.5%
28.6%
Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 41.1% – 82.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Houwen J. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 2. Lelieveld J. 4. Van Gelderen L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 6. Oukili Y. 32. el Yaakoubi R. 22. van de Loo T. 52. Ihattaren M. 29. Kramer M. (C) 19. Margaret R.
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. 6. van Ottele S. 14. Guth R. 8. Dahlhaus J. 20. Michut E. 80. Fosso R. 10. Halilovic A. 33. Bullaude E. 7. Peterson K. 23. Da Cruz A.
Substitutes
7. Cleonise D. 35. Felida K. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 14. Lokesa C. 28. Meijers A. 24. Roemeratoe G. 16. Spenkelink M. (G) 23. van der Venne R. 18. van der Water S. 17. van Eijma R. 34. Wouters L.
22. Bastien S. 5. Grujcic D. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 28. Mitrovic J. 19. Radulovic B. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 9. Sierhuis K. 77. Tunjic L.
Coaches
Fraser H.
Buijs D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Da Cruz A. ⚽, Dahlhaus J. (A),
43', Fosso R. 🟨,
45+3', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Kramer M. 🟨,
58', Michut E. 🟨,
68', Peterson K. ↓, Grujcic D. ↑,
68', Michut E. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
68', Halilovic A. ↓, Radulovic B. ↑,
71', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
71', van de Loo T. ↓, Cleonise D. ↑,
77', Pinto I. 🟨,
82', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
83', Pinto I. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
86', Da Cruz A. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, van der Water S. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Fosso R. ⚽, Sierhuis K. (A),
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 1.
Waalwijk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fortuna Sittard has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Waalwijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Waalwijk will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
Weidmann D.
(Injury)
van Eijma R.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Branderhorst M.
(Injury)
Demir O.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Knee Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:27 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).