Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 19

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Referee: van Boekel P. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Sparta Rotterdam		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6.25
	1.52	4.25	6.4
	1.51	4.39	6.26	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.5	4.6	5.95	Watch
	1.52	4.25	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.71)	4.34 ↑ (3.84)	6.25 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
62.9%

Draw
21.9%

Waalwijk
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.8%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Rotterdam's performance.

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	45.8%	16.7%

Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olij N. (C) 2. Bakari S. 3. Meissen R. 4. Eerdhuijzen M. 5. van Aanholt P. 8. Eiting C. 6. Kitolano J. 7. Neghli C. 10. Verschueren A. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.	1. Houwen J. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 17. van Eijma R. 4. Van Gelderen L. 2. Lelieveld J. 22. van de Loo T. 6. Oukili Y. 34. Wouters L. 52. Ihattaren M. 9. Zawada O. (C) 19. Margaret R.
Substitutes
16. Baas J. 18. Clement P. 22. de Guzman J. 21. Kayky 14. Metinho 17. Nassoh M. 13. Quintero T. 12. Reith B. 30. Reitmaier K. (G) 20. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 19. Thorisson N. 15. van der Kust D.	5. Familia-Castillo J. 35. Felida K. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 29. Kramer M. 14. Lokesa C. 28. Meijers A. 10. Niemeijer R. 24. Roemeratoe G. 18. van der Water S. 31. Vogels L. (G) 8. Vroegh P.
Coaches
Steijn M.	Fraser H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Zawada O. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Bakari S. ⚽, Neghli C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wouters L. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
70', Mito S. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
73', van de Loo T. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
73', van Eijma R. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
82', Eiting C. ↓, Kayky ↑,
83', Zawada O. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
88', Van Gelderen L. 🟨,
88', Ihattaren M. ↓, Niemeijer R. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sparta Rotterdam won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sparta Rotterdam could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sparta Rotterdam is a favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Young M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Familia-Castillo J. (Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van der Venne R. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sparta Rotterdam won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:15 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sparta Rotterdam won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:5 (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.25	Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.12.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
15.12.24	NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLTL
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.25	Waalwijk - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.25	Ajax - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
20.12.24	Waalwijk - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.24	Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.24	Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2
27.01.24	Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1
28.10.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	2:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
24.01.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	0:0
02.10.22	Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam	2:2
23.12.21	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	1:1

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