Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra


	Waalwijk		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.93
	3.7	3.7	1.95
	4.01	3.8	1.93
	3.71	3.72	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.85
	3.79	3.82	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.36)	3.75 ↑ (3.68)	1.92 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
25.2%

Draw
25.4%

Sparta Rotterdam
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

25.8%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

25.4%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Houwen J. (G) 4. Van Gelderen L. 17. van Eijma R. 3. Van den Buijs D. 28. Meijers A. 30. Weidmann D. 24. Roemeratoe G. 7. Cleonise D. 10. Niemeijer R. 14. Lokesa C. 9. Zawada O. (C)	1. Olij N. (C) 2. Reith B. 3. Quintero T. 4. Eerdhuijzen M. 5. van der Kust D. 6. Clement P. 8. Kitolano J. 7. Neghli C. 10. Verschueren A. 11. Nassoh M. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
5. Familia-Castillo J. 35. Felida K. 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 2. Lelieveld J. 19. Margaret R. 6. Oukili Y. 20. Takidine I. 22. van de Loo T. 21. van Osch Y. (G) 8. Vroegh P.	16. Baas J. 12. Bakari S. 19. Brym C. 21. de Guzman J. 15. Kleijn M. 13. Meissen R. 14. Metinho 17. Mito S. 18. Oufkir A. 20. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 30. Tevreden D. (G) 22. Young M.
Coaches
Fraser H.	Rijsdijk J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 0.

Waalwijk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sparta Rotterdam is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sparta Rotterdam will have a poor advantage in this game.

There are questionable in Waalwijk: El Harmazi N. (Shoulder Injury) van der Venne R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Quintero T. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sparta Rotterdam to win the game is with odds 1.96.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Waalwijk won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Waalwijk won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
15.09.24	Willem II - Waalwijk	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Waalwijk - Groningen	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	PSV Eindhoven - Waalwijk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
15.09.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Twente - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
27.01.24	Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1
28.10.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	2:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
24.01.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	0:0
02.10.22	Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam	2:2
23.12.21	Sparta Rotterdam - Waalwijk	1:1
23.10.21	Waalwijk - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0

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