Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 33

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3


	Warta Poznań		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.73
	4.5	3.5	1.78	Watch
	4.93	3.56	1.83
	4.94	3.53	1.8
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4.52	3.52	1.81	Watch
	4.45	3.45	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.65)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
20.3%

Draw
26.8%

Legia Warsaw
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.7%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28.2%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	23.8%	57.1%

Warta Poznań - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grobelny J. (G) 2. Bartkowski J. 44. Szymonowicz D. 3. Kielb J. 28. Borowski F. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 15. Kopczynski M. 22. Matuszewski K. 16. Luis M. 9. Eppel M. 7. Szmyt K.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 12. Pankov R. 24. Ziolkowski J. 3. Kapuadi S. 13. Wszolek P. 27. Josue (C) 21. Celhaka J. 22. Elitim J. 5. Ribeiro Y. 39. Rosolek M. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
1. Lis A. (G) 25. Paszkowski J. 27. Przybylko K. 24. Rychlik P. 77. Savic S. 4. Stavropoulos D. 11. Tonder F. 29. Vizinger D.	17. Gil Dias 30. Hladun D. (G) 9. Kramer B. 25. Morishita R. 26. Rejczyk F. 53. Urbanski W. 11. Zyba Q.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Pankov R. ⚽, Josue (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Szymonowicz D. ↓, Stavropoulos D. ↑,
57', Celhaka J. ↓, Zyba Q. ↑,
74', Bartkowski J. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
74', Kopczynski M. ↓, Paszkowski J. ↑,
80', Kielb J. ↓, Rychlik P. ↑,
80', Borowski F. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
82', Gual M. ↓, Kramer B. ↑,
87', Vizinger D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Legia is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Warta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.05.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Warta Poznań - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Piast Gliwice - Warta Poznań	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Warta Poznań - Stal Mielec	5:2 ✺
12.04.24	Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.05.24	Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	0:3 ✺
28.04.24	Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
25.11.23	Legia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	2:2
21.04.23	Warta Poznań - Legia Warsaw	1:0
08.10.22	Legia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	1:0
13.02.22	Legia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	0:1
14.08.21	Warta Poznań - Legia Warsaw	0:2
13.03.21	Legia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	3:2
02.11.20	Warta Poznań - Legia Warsaw	0:3

Upcoming Matches