Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Burnley

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.3
	3.25	3.3	2.35
	3.15	3.15	2.3
	3.36	3.27	2.36
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.22	3.32	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.84)	3.21 ↑ (3.03)	2.31 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
29.2%

Draw
29.7%

Burnley
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

30.8%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	25%	61.4%

Wigan Athletic - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). Burnley will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 47% – 75.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (7.89%), has project points - 54, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Burnley has the most likely position - 3 (8.25%), has project points - 72, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 43, importance 31, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Burnley will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Wigan: Bennett J. (Red Card) Cousins J. (Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Westwood A. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Wigan: Edwards G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Long K. (Injury) Twine S. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
20.08.22	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
13.08.22	Wigan Athletic - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
06.08.22	Norwich City - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Wigan Athletic - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTLTT
- Burnley FC
English League Cup
23.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Burnley	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
20.08.22	Burnley - Blackpool	3:3 ✺
16.08.22	Burnley - Hull City	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Watford - Burnley	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Burnley - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.19	Wigan Athletic - Burnley	2:2
English League Championship
21.04.14	Burnley - Wigan Athletic	2:0
29.12.13	Wigan Athletic - Burnley	0:0

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