Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 5
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
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Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4.1	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.86	3.72	4.15	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4
	1.9	3.76	4.47	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	3.64 ↓ (3.79)	4.18 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
51%

Draw
26.2%

St. Pauli
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.7%	25.4%	11.9%

Wolfsburg - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 41 - 63.1%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 8 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 24.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 51.4% – 74.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (4.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolfsburg will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 12 - 70.6%). St. Pauli (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Wolfsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. Pauli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wolfsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wolfsburg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Muller M. (Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury) Sinani D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
11.01.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	8:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWWT
- FC St. Pauli
Club Friendly
04.01.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.12.25	Mainz - St. Pauli	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Köln - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.03.25	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	1:1
26.10.24	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	0:0
Club Friendly
05.01.18	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	3:1
10.07.12	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	N/A

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