Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.6
	1.7	4	5
	1.74	3.9	5
	1.72	3.84	5
	1.57	3.9	4.8
	1.75	4.06	5.07	Watch
	1.66	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.54)	3.91 ↓ (4.3)	4.9 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
56.1%

Draw
24.4%

Coventry City
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolverhampton Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolverhampton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (G) 23. Kilman M. (C) 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti 22. Semedo N. 8. Gomes J. 20. Doyle T. 5. Lemina M. 3. Ait-Nouri R. 21. Sarabia P. 63. Fraser N.	40. Collins B. (G) 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 15. Kitching L. 27. van Ewijk M. 28. Eccles J. 14. Sheaf B. (C) 21. Bidwell J. 45. Palmer K. 11. Wright H. 9. Simms E.
Substitutes
45. Barnett T. 25. Bentley D. (G) 17. Bueno H. 62. Chirewa T. 84. Chiwome L. 2. Doherty M. 37. Holman F. 14. Lemina N. 6. Traore B.	54. Andrews K. 2. Binks L. 3. Dasilva J. 24. Godden M. 6. Kelly L. 10. O'Hare C. 30. Tavares F. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G)
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Robins M.

Preview

Wolverhampton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Coventry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Wolverhampton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wolverhampton to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wolverhampton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Wolverhampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
09.03.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Fulham	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW
- Coventry City
English League Championship
09.03.24	Watford - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Coventry City - Rotherham United	5:0 ✺
01.03.24	West Bromwich Albion - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
26.02.24	Coventry City - Maidstone United	5:0 ✺
English League Championship
23.02.24	Coventry City - Preston North End	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Coventry City	2:1
English League One
26.04.14	Coventry City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
19.10.13	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Coventry City	1:1

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