Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.7
	4.7	4.05	1.72
	4.5	4.16	1.76	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.7
	4.92	4.11	1.71	Watch
	4.5	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.31)	4.02 ↓ (4.1)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
20.7%

Draw
23.7%

Newcastle United
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

23.2%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

23%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.4%	20.4%	61.2%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 9 - 19.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 30 - 63.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 50.1% – 77.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wolverhampton (3.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Wolverhampton (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Wolverhampton (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wolverhampton (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Newcastle (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 38. Tchatchoua J. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 36. Mane M. 3. Bueno H. 14. Arokodare T. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan	1. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 12. Thiaw M. 4. Botman S. 3. Hall L. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 7. Joelinton 11. Barnes H. 27. Woltemade N. 10. Gordon A.
Substitutes
12. Agbadou E. 10. Arias J. 2. Doherty M. 21. Gomes R. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 9. Larsen J. S. 28. Lopez F. 17. Pedro Lima 6. Wolfe D. M.	20. Elanga A. 67. Miley L. 37. Murphy A. 62. Neave S. 32. Ramsdale A. (G) 41. Ramsey J. 61. Shahar L. 28. Willock J. 9. Wissa Y.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Tonali S. 🟨,
65', Arokodare T. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
67', Tonali S. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
67', Woltemade N. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
67', Gordon A. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
71', Joao Gomes ↓, Arias J. ↑,
78', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
86', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
89', Botman S. 🟨,
90+5', Andre 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 0.

Wolverhampton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newcastle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wolverhampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

In this match, Newcastle is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Bellegarde J. (Hamstring Injury) Toti (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Burn D. (Chest Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Livramento V. (Muscle Injury) Murphy J. (Muscle Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Schar F. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9:9	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	6:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
30.12.25	Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWTL
- Newcastle United
English League Cup
13.01.26	Newcastle United - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Newcastle United - Leeds United	4:3 ✺
04.01.26	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Burnley - Newcastle United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
15.01.25	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0
15.09.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	1:2
02.03.24	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0
28.10.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	2:2
12.03.23	Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
28.08.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	1:1

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