Match Info

Championship - Round 34

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.54	Watch
	2.13	3.43	3.44	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.08	3.38	3.94	Watch
	2	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	3.65 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
45.7%

Draw
28.4%

Portsmouth
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Wrexham - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 28 - 70%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 55.8% – 84.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Portsmouth (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wrexham will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 8 - 80%). Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 12. Kabore I. 15. Dobson G. 27. O'Brien L. 14. Thomason G. 10. Windass J. 33. Broadhead N. 28. Smith S.	1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 38. Adams E. 47. Caballero G. 8. Swift J. 27. Alli M. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 11. Cadamarteri B. 7. Keillor-Dunn D. 47. Longman R. 19. Moore K. 20. Rathbone O. 24. Scarr D. 26. Vyner Z. 21. Ward D. (G)	29. Blair H. 17. Bowat I. 40. Brown J. 26. Bursik J. (G) 36. Chaplin C. 55. Dia M. 16. Le Roux L. 10. Segecic A. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Smith S. ⚽, Doyle C. (A),
30', Poole R. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Cleworth M. ⚽, Dobson G. (A),
42', Swift J. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caballero G. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Swanson Z. ⚽, Poole R. (A),
67', Smith S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
68', Windass J. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
79', Adams E. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
79', Swanson Z. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
88', Broadhead N. ↓, Vyner Z. ↑,
89', Poole R. ↓, Dia M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).

Wrexham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portsmouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wrexham could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L. (Injury) James A. (Injury) O'Connor T. (Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Anderson K. (Hamstring Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Chaplin C. (Groin Injury) Dozzell A. (Ankle Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Thigh Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Wrexham: 4.26% Portsmouth: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wrexham	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
21.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	5:3 ✺
17.02.26	Bristol City - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Wrexham - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
07.02.26	Wrexham - Millwall	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWLW
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
21.02.26	Millwall - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
17.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Preston North End - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Portsmouth - West Bromwich Albion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.11.25	Portsmouth - Wrexham	0:0

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